Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 12 July 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Luso Brasileiro (Rio de Janeiro)
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Portuguesa RJ |
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EC São José Porto Alegre |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.10 |
2.80 |
3.50 |
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 |
2.02 |
2.88 |
3.7 |
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2.07 |
2.79 |
3.8 |
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2.09 |
2.87 |
3.86 |
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2.02 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
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2.05 |
2.82 |
3.86 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.06 ↑ (1.94) |
2.81 ↓ (3.06) |
3.74 ↓ (3.81) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portuguesa RJ 43.8% | Draw 32.1% | EC São José Porto Alegre 24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-0.6%)Portuguesa RJ - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.Recent performances by Portuguesa RJ have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).EC São José is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).EC São José may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Portuguesa RJ is seen as the favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa RJ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).Including home match between the teams, Portuguesa RJ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 04.07.26 | EC São José Porto Alegre - Portuguesa RJ | 1:0 | | 03.07.16 | Portuguesa RJ - EC São José Porto Alegre | 0:2 | | 25.06.16 | EC São José Porto Alegre - Portuguesa RJ | 0:1 |
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