Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Portuguesa Santista U20		Corinthians U20

	1	X	2
	6.50	4.10	1.40
	6.4	3.95	1.4
	6.72	4.23	1.37
	6.9	4.24	1.4	Watch
	6.65	4.15	1.36
	6.43	4.32	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.6 ↑ (5)	4.17 ↑ (3.65)	1.4 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista U20
13.7%

Draw
21.7%

Corinthians U20
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

24.6%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

23.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Corinthians U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corinthians U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista U20 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corinthians U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Portuguesa Santista U20 - Corinthians U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

In this matchup, Corinthians U20 is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Portuguesa U20 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Corinthians U20 - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 57.49%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
27.09.26	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	1:1 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	União Suzano U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Santos U20	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - São Bento U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWWLW
- Corinthians U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
25.09.26	Corinthians U20 - XV de Jaú U20	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	XV de Jaú U20 - Corinthians U20	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Corinthians U20 - America SP U20	4:0 ✺
04.09.26	São Bento U20 - Corinthians U20	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Corinthians U20 - CA Juventus U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
13.06.26	Corinthians U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	2:0

Portuguesa Santista U20 - Corinthians U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide