Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Posta Rangers		Kariobangi Sharks

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.78	3.75
	2.07	2.78	4	Watch
	2.1	2.6	3.75
	2.2	2.76	3.51
	2	2.71	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.33)	2.73 ↓ (2.83)	3.84 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Posta Rangers
43.3%

Draw
33.2%

Kariobangi Sharks
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

32.1%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

31.9%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Posta Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Kariobangi Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kariobangi Sharks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kariobangi Sharks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Posta Rangers - Kariobangi Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 1.

Posta Rangers has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kariobangi Sharks is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kariobangi Sharks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Posta Rangers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Posta Rangers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:15. (average 0.3:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Posta Rangers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Posta Rangers - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.96%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
22.12.25	Ulinzi Stars - Posta Rangers	3:0 ✺
16.12.25	Posta Rangers - Bandari	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	APS Bomet - Posta Rangers	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Posta Rangers - Nairobi United	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Bidco United - Posta Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTTWW
- Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League
06.01.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia	1:4 ✺
22.12.25	Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
18.12.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Mara Sugar - Kariobangi Sharks	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Police FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
14.02.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Posta Rangers	2:2
08.12.24	Posta Rangers - Kariobangi Sharks	0:1
10.03.24	Posta Rangers - Kariobangi Sharks	1:5
30.09.23	Kariobangi Sharks - Posta Rangers	0:1
04.05.23	Kariobangi Sharks - Posta Rangers	0:0
22.01.23	Posta Rangers - Kariobangi Sharks	1:5
23.04.22	Kariobangi Sharks - Posta Rangers	3:2

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