Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	APS Bomet		Posta Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.68	3.2
	2.49	2.72	3.72
	2.45	2.51	3.48	Watch
	2.4	2.63	3
	2.37	2.73	3.2
	2.57	2.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.13)	2.58 ↓ (3.2)	3.39 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APS Bomet
37.5%

Draw
35.5%

Posta Rangers
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.1%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.5%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Posta Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for APS Bomet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

APS Bomet - Posta Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

APS Bomet could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APS Bomet FC
Kenyan Premier League
07.12.25	APS Bomet - Bandari	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Sofapaka - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
25.11.25	Gor Mahia - APS Bomet	1:4 ✺
19.11.25	APS Bomet - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	APS Bomet - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WTWLT
- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
08.12.25	Posta Rangers - Nairobi United	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Bidco United - Posta Rangers	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Posta Rangers - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
10.11.25	Sofapaka - Posta Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLTL

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