Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday


	Ulinzi Stars		Posta Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.78	2.62
	2.74	2.62	2.89	Watch
	2.63	2.6	2.88
	2.69	2.7	2.7
	2.6	2.66	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.49)	2.67 ↓ (2.83)	2.79 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulinzi Stars
33.8%

Draw
33.8%

Posta Rangers
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

32.4%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

32.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulinzi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Posta Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ulinzi Stars - Posta Rangers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Okoth P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 1.

Ulinzi Stars is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Posta Rangers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Posta Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulinzi Stars won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Ulinzi Stars - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.79%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
18.12.25	AFC Leopards - Ulinzi Stars	2:1 ✺
11.12.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kenya CB	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Tusker - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ulinzi Stars - Bandari	1:1 ✺
24.11.25	Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLTW
- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
16.12.25	Posta Rangers - Bandari	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	APS Bomet - Posta Rangers	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Posta Rangers - Nairobi United	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Bidco United - Posta Rangers	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
14.05.25	Ulinzi Stars - Posta Rangers	1:1
27.10.24	Posta Rangers - Ulinzi Stars	1:2
17.02.24	Posta Rangers - Ulinzi Stars	1:0
21.12.23	Ulinzi Stars - Posta Rangers	0:2
12.03.23	Posta Rangers - Ulinzi Stars	1:0
03.12.22	Ulinzi Stars - Posta Rangers	1:0
14.05.22	Ulinzi Stars - Posta Rangers	0:0

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