Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Posta Rangers		Kakamega Homeboyz

	1	X	2
	3.85	2.92	1.98
	4.11	3.11	1.85
	3.38	2.67	2.37	Watch
	4	2.88	1.91
	3.86	2.88	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (2.63)	2.89 ↓ (2.91)	2.04 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Posta Rangers
23.8%

Draw
31.6%

Kakamega Homeboyz
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

31%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Posta Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Posta Rangers's form might have worsened.

Kakamega Homeboyz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kakamega Homeboyz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Posta Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kakamega Homeboyz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Posta Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Posta Rangers won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Posta Rangers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Kakamega Homeboyz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Posta Rangers - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Kakamega Homeboyz - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.45%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
22.03.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Posta Rangers	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Posta Rangers - Police FC	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Posta Rangers - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Muranga Seal - Posta Rangers	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	AFC Leopards - Posta Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWTLL
- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
22.03.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Bandari	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Ulinzi Stars - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
23.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers	2:0
11.12.24	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1
18.05.24	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:1
02.11.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers	1:1
05.04.23	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:2
04.02.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers	0:1
05.03.22	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:3

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