Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 1

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Police FC		Nairobi City Stars

	1	X	2
	1.96	2.8	3.53
	1.98	2.97	4.07	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.04	2.88	3.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.48)	2.94 ↑ (2.87)	3.58 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police FC
43.9%

Draw
30.8%

Nairobi City Stars
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

32%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

31.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Police FC's performance.

Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nairobi City Stars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Police FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nairobi City Stars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Police FC - Nairobi City Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Kinanga C. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Kusaba Y. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Nabwire M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 3 - 1, Zakayo E. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
01.12.24	AFC Leopards - Police FC	1:0 ✺
26.11.24	Police FC - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
22.11.24	Kariobangi Sharks - Police FC	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Shabana - Police FC	1:0 ✺
06.11.24	Sofapaka - Police FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLT
- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
30.11.24	Nairobi City Stars - Bandari	0:1 ✺
27.11.24	Mathare United - Nairobi City Stars	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Nairobi City Stars - Tusker	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Shabana - Nairobi City Stars	0:1 ✺
28.10.24	Nairobi City Stars - Gor Mahia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
07.10.23	Nairobi City Stars - Police FC	0:1
12.04.23	Police FC - Nairobi City Stars	4:2
08.02.23	Nairobi City Stars - Police FC	1:2
Club Friendly
20.09.22	Police FC - Nairobi City Stars	1:1
Kenyan Premier League
01.05.22	Nairobi City Stars - Police FC	0:0
16.10.21	Police FC - Nairobi City Stars	0:2

Police FC - Nairobi City Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide