Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Potenza		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.45	2.3
	2.54	3.86	2.42
	2.62	3.09	2.71	Watch
	2.76	3.35	2.28	Watch
	2.53	3.34	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.57)	3.42 ↑ (3.18)	2.42 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potenza
35%

Draw
27%

Atalanta U23
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.3%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Potenza - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Potenza will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Atalanta U23 will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Alastra F. (G) 35. Novella M. 14. Riggio C. 15. Camigliano A. 3. Rocchetti Y. 31. Siatounis A. 5. Lucas Martello 8. Castorani M. 70. Selleri G. 30. Petrungaro L. 10. D'Auria G.	95. Vismara P. (G) 37. Navarro A. 6. Comi P. 18. Guerini A. 66. Bergonzi F. 47. Levak S. 8. Pounga D. K. 4. Berto G. 98. Papadopoulos C. 10. Cortinovis A. 14. Cisse M.
Substitutes
7. Anatriello G. 19. Balzano M. 92. Bruschi N. 47. Bura R. 17. Cucchietti T. (G) 23. De Marco A. 27. Erradi B. 77. Ghisolfi M. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 28. Maisto F. 11. Mazzeo L. 21. Schimmenti E.	27. Artesani N. 20. Bono D. 94. Camara H. 40. Colombo M. 29. Leandri M. 82. Lonardo E. 7. Manzoni A. 26. Michieletto A. 2. Plaia M. 22. Sassi J. (G) 3. Simonetto F. 25. Steffanoni F. 23. Tornaghi P. 12. Zanchi E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Castorani M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Papadopoulos C. ↓, Lonardo E. ↑,
46', Berto G. ↓, Plaia M. ↑,
57', Pounga D. K. 🟨,
63', Lonardo E. 🟨,
63', Pounga D. K. ↓, Manzoni A. ↑,
63', Guerini A. ↓, Simonetto F. ↑,
68', Castorani M. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
69', Petrungaro L. ↓, Bruschi N. ↑,
72', Selleri G. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
73', Rocchetti Y. ↓, Balzano M. ↑,
79', Siatounis A. ↓, Erradi B. ↑,
79', Cisse M. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
81', Erradi B. 🟨,
90+2', Lucas Martello 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Potenza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atalanta U23's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atalanta U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta U23 - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.47%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.25	Siracusa - Potenza	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Potenza - Picerno	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Potenza - Crotone	3:3 ✺
06.09.25	Casertana - Potenza	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTLT
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.25	Atalanta U23 - Crotone	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Benevento - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Salernitana - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Atalanta U23 - Altamura	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Atalanta U23 - Casarano	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLTW

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