Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 38

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Potenza		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.85
	2.33	3.2	3.2
	2.33	3.1	3.2
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.29	3.14	3.07
	2.07	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.04)	3.15 ↑ (3.08)	3.07 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potenza
40.8%

Draw
29.2%

Virtus Francavilla
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

31.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Francavilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Potenza - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Alastra F. (G) 5. Armini N. 16. Sbraga A. 3. Maddaloni R. D. 98. Hadziosmanovic C. 81. Candellori K. 7. Steffe D. 70. Saporiti E. 77. Volpe G. 9. Caturano S. 10. Di Grazia A.	89. Branduani P. (G) 5. Monteagudo J. C. 6. Gasbarro A. 15. Dutu E. 7. Biondi K. 27. Laaribi M. 19. Izzillo N. 8. Di Marco T. 50. Ingrosso G. 11. Neglia S. 9. Artistico G.
Substitutes
29. Burgio R. 23. Castorani M. 24. Cucchietti T. (G) 55. Hristov A. 12. Iacovino A. (G) 17. Maisto F. 2. Marchisano M. 19. Pace F. 46. Paura M. 20. Ragone G. 11. Rossetti M. 36. Spaltro R.	40. Accardi A. 70. Cardoselli C. 17. Carella F. 98. Castiglia A. 18. Contini G. 3. De Marino D. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 30. Macca F. 14. Molnar I. 23. Nicoli S. 10. Polidori A. 21. Risolo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Gasbarro A. 🟨,
28', Steffe D. 🟨,
29', Laaribi M. 🟨,
32', Hadziosmanovic C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Maddaloni R. D. ↓, Hristov A. ↑,
63', Steffe D. ↓, Castorani M. ↑,
73', Di Grazia A. ↓, Rossetti M. ↑,
77', Neglia S. ↓, Polidori A. ↑,
86', Polidori A. ↓, Contini G. ↑,
88', Artistico G. 🟨,
90', Volpe G. ↓, Burgio R. ↑,
90', Hadziosmanovic C. ↓, Maisto F. ↑,
90+1', Ingrosso G. ↓, Nicoli S. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Virtus Francavilla is Serie C ~ Group A

Last 5 head-to-head matches Potenza won 2.

Potenza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Potenza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Potenza won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Potenza won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
21.04.24	ACR Messina - Potenza	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Potenza - Foggia	0:3 ✺
06.04.24	Taranto - Potenza	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Potenza - Crotone	2:2 ✺
24.03.24	Audace Cerignola - Potenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
21.04.24	Virtus Francavilla - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Virtus Francavilla - Catania	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Città di Brindisi - Virtus Francavilla	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Virtus Francavilla - Nuova Monterosi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
23.12.23	Virtus Francavilla - Potenza	0:1
05.03.23	Virtus Francavilla - Potenza	1:1
30.10.22	Potenza - Virtus Francavilla	2:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.22	Virtus Francavilla - Potenza	0:1 penalties
Italian Serie C Group C
06.02.22	Virtus Francavilla - Potenza	4:1
29.09.21	Potenza - Virtus Francavilla	0:1
21.02.21	Potenza - Virtus Francavilla	0:0

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