Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 11

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Welling United		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.55	2.08
	2.92	3.96	2.04
	2.94	3.63	2.10	Watch
	2.75	3.56	2.36
	3.05	3.55	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)	3.65 ↑ (3.63)	2.1 (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
31.4%

Draw
25.1%

Folkestone Invicta
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

25.2%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

24.8%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Welling United - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Folkestone will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Rance D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 0 - 2, Berry M. ⚽,
82', 0 - 3, Pigott J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Welling has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Folkestone is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Welling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Welling has had a series of away games.

Folkestone will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Welling won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Welling United - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.15%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Folkestone Invicta - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.61%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.11.25	Dartford - Welling United	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Brentwood Town - Welling United	3:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	St Albans City - Welling United	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Ramsgate - Welling United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Royston Town - Welling United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWW
- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.11.25	Folkestone Invicta - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Hashtag United - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:4 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.10.25	Folkestone Invicta - Lewes	6:0 ✺
18.10.25	Folkestone Invicta - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.21	Folkestone Invicta - Welling United	3:1

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