Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 11

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)


	Brusque		Floresta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.10	3.60
	1.85	2.92	4.45	Watch
	1.97	3	4.67
	1.98	2.73	5.04	Watch
	1.91	3.00	3.60
	1.82	2.97	4.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.86)	2.95 ↓ (3)	4.34 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
48%

Draw
30.9%

Floresta
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

30.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Brusque - Floresta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 17. Adrianinho 5. Bernardo (C) 4. Cipriano 7. Gazao 10. Joao Pedro 19. Macario 2. Pedro Medeiros 11. Petterson Novaes 6. Raimar 3. Ryan Santos	12. Dheimison (C) 3. Afonso 31. Buga 29. Caique 15. Eliandro 13. Garraty 9. Jeam 4. Joao Victor 21. Matheus Martins 17. Nonato 14. Valdo
Substitutes
15. Alex Paulino 9. Alvaro 18. Clinton 16. Davi Gabriel 24. Guga 20. Joao Prado 8. Jonatan Lucca 21. Leonardo 13. Leonardo Ataide 12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 14. Rafael Milhorim 22. Rafa Fonseca	2. Cedric 19. Daniel 6. Diego Matos 23. Islan 5. Jhony Douglas 18. Joao Celeri 27. Marco Antonio 10. Matheusinho 11. Rafinha 22. Tiepo (G)
Coaches
Higo	Leston Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Gazao ⚽,
19', Petterson Novaes 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Joao Victor ⚽,
39', Jeam ↓, Joao Celeri ↑,
42', Afonso 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Petterson Novaes ↓, Clinton ↑,
69', Adrianinho ↓, Joao Prado ↑,
69', Macario ↓, Alvaro ↑,
77', Matheus Martins ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
77', Gazao ↓, Jonatan Lucca ↑,
77', Pedro Medeiros ↓, Leonardo Ataide ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽,
85', Buga ↓, Diego Matos ↑,
85', Caique ↓, Rafinha ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Brusque is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Brusque won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Brusque: 10.48%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
14.06.26	Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
01.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Brusque - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Ferroviária - Brusque	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Brusque - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWLW
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
14.06.26	Floresta - Figueirense	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Floresta - Confiança	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	Paysandu - Floresta	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Floresta - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Itabaiana - Floresta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
30.06.25	Floresta - Brusque	2:1
24.06.23	Brusque - Floresta	2:0

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