Match Info

Serie D - Round 10

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Do Manduzao (Pouso Alegre)


	Pouso Alegre		Maricá

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.45	2.95	2.92
				Watch
	2.43	3.1	2.98
	2.11	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2)	2.99 ↓ (3.35)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
38.6%

Draw
30.6%

Maricá
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

26.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pouso Alegre's form might have worsened.

Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pouso Alegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Pouso Alegre - Maricá Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Rubim T. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Jonathan Chula ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Pouso Alegre might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pouso Alegre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.25	Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Pouso Alegre	3:0 ✺
31.05.25	Pouso Alegre - Rio Branco AC ES	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Portuguesa - Pouso Alegre	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Maricá - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLL
- Maricá FC
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.25	Porto Vitória - Maricá	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Maricá - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Água Santa - Maricá	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Maricá - Porto Vitória	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Maricá - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
17.05.25	Maricá - Pouso Alegre	1:0

Pouso Alegre - Maricá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide