Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday


	Pouso Alegre		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.9	3.9
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	2.07	2.94	4.26
	1.91	2.9	3.8
	1.99	3.13	3.8	Watch
	1.97	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.36)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	3.94 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
46.7%

Draw
30.2%

Náutico Capibaribe
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

30.7%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

30.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pouso Alegre's performance.

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pouso Alegre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pouso Alegre - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Pascoal (G) 8. Djalma 11. Geovane Meurer 5. Igor Pereira 26. Ingro 3. Joao Vialle 7. Jonathan Junior 13. Nando 6. Nathan 10. Patrick Allan 4. Renato Vischi	1. Vagner (G) 3. Danilo Cardoso 14. Denilson 6. Diego Matos 7. Gabriel Santiago 99. Jael 5. Jean Mangabeira 11. Paul Villero 13. Rennan Siqueira 8. Souza 4. Victor Ferraz
Substitutes
17. Alyson Motta 20. Bauer C. 15. Carlinhos 21. Derick 19. Erick Salles 12. George (G) 22. Kennedy (G) 14. Matheus Lira 16. Minho 9. Paulo Henrique 18. Vinicius Boff	16. Alisson Santos 12. Bruno Lopes (G) 17. Diego Ferreira 20. Eduardo 22. Juan Gauto 9. Julio Rodrigues 10. Matheus Carvalho 23. Thiaguinho 15. Wesley

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Pouso Alegre will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie C
28.05.23	Operário Ferroviario - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Botafogo PB - Pouso Alegre	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Pouso Alegre - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
06.05.23	Pouso Alegre - Brusque	1:0 ✺
02.05.23	Volta Redonda - Pouso Alegre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTLWW
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
27.05.23	Náutico Capibaribe - América RN	0:0 ✺
22.05.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Floresta	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Aparecidense - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0 ✺
06.05.23	Náutico Capibaribe - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	Manaus - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWLWL

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