Match Info

BRAZIL: Mineiro - Round 8

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Do Manduzao (Pouso Alegre)

Referee: Teixeira A. (Bra)


	Pouso Alegre		Uberlândia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.07	2.95	3.45	Watch
	2.1	2.97	3.98
	2.02	3.14	3.64	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.99	3.24	3.68
	2.07	2.95	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.56)	3.06 ↑ (2.91)	3.63 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
44.9%

Draw
29.9%

Uberlândia
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

30.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

29.7%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pouso Alegre's performance.

Uberlândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uberlândia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pouso Alegre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uberlândia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pouso Alegre - Uberlândia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Felipe (G) 25. Andre Krobel 3. Victao 15. Samuel 5. Felipe Moreira 8. Martinez F. 16. Guilherme Aguiar 19. Magno (C) 20. Maxuel 17. Foguinho 22. Caicedo J.	1. Thiago Braga (C) 16. Watson 23. Rodrigo 4. Rayne 13. Chico Bala 5. Mage 8. Escuro 17. Felipe Benedetti 7. Jean Silva 18. Jhulliam 11. Bruninho
Substitutes
7. Dagoberto 23. Gabriel Falcao 13. Gabriel Moura 14. Guilherme Buscarioli 21. Joao Marcos 6. Jonathan 18. Marcao 12. Natan (G) 2. Rafael Vaz 10. Ray Breno 9. Thaileon 11. Wandinho	21. Aslen Kevin 14. Brendo 3. Bruno Cezar 2. Douglas Dias 12. Joanderson (G) 15. Kayo Lopes 19. Leo Martins 10. Michael Paulista 20. Michel Borges 22. Ze Rafael (G)
Coaches
Hendrique	Bastos E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Maxuel 🟨,
17', Rayne ↓, Bruno Cezar ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Felipe Moreira ⚽, Andre Krobel (A),
37', Jhulliam 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Foguinho ↓, Guilherme Buscarioli ↑,
46', Victao ↓, Ray Breno ↑,
58', Felipe Benedetti ↓, Michael Paulista ↑,
58', Watson ↓, Douglas Dias ↑,
58', Jean Silva ↓, Aslen Kevin ↑,
74', Bruninho ↓, Brendo ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Aslen Kevin ⚽,
83', Samuel ↓, Thaileon ↑,
83', Guilherme Aguiar ↓, Jonathan ↑,
87', Douglas Dias 🟨,
89', Jonathan 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Jonathan ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
90+1', Ray Breno 🟨,
90+4', Maxuel ↓, Gabriel Falcao ↑,
90+7', Andre Krobel 🟨,
90+10', Felipe 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Uberlândia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pouso Alegre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pouso Alegre won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Pouso Alegre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.02.25	Itabirito - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Pouso Alegre - Betim	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Democrata GV - Pouso Alegre	2:4 ✺
29.01.25	Tombense - Pouso Alegre	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Pouso Alegre - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LLWTT
- Uberlândia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
09.02.25	Uberlândia - Athletic Club	3:0 ✺
06.02.25	Uberlândia - Democrata GV	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Cruzeiro - Uberlândia	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	Aymorés - Uberlândia	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Uberlândia - Itabirito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
19.03.22	Pouso Alegre - Uberlândia	2:0
15.03.21	Uberlândia - Pouso Alegre	1:3

Pouso Alegre - Uberlândia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide