Match Info
BRAZIL: Mineiro - 5th-8th places - FinalDate: 8 March 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Municipal João Havelange (Uberlândia)
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Uberlândia |
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Athletic Club |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
 |
3.5 |
3 |
2.05 |
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 |
3.6 |
3 |
2.13 |
Watch |
 |
3.74 |
3.12 |
2.1 |
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3.49 |
3.13 |
2.08 |
Watch |
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3.6 |
3 |
2.05 |
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3.59 |
3.18 |
2.04 |
Watch |
 |
3.6 |
3 |
2.13 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.59 ↑ (2.85) |
3.06 ↑ (3.05) |
2.08 ↓ (2.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Uberlândia 25.7% | Draw 30.1% | Athletic Club 44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Uberlândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uberlândia's form might have worsened.Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Club's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uberlândia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Club, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Uberlândia - Athletic Club Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1. Thiago Braga (G) 2. Watson 13. Chico Bala 23. Rodrigo 6. Ruan 5. Mage 8. Felipe Benedetti 10. Fernandinho 7. Jean Silva 11. Bruninho 9. Jhulliam
| 1. Diego Vitor (G) 13. Douglas Pele 3. Dourado 4. Jhonatan Silva 17. Nathan 5. Amorim 8. Wallisson 10. Caick 7. Iarley 19. Neto Costa (C) 21. Mateus Goncalves
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| Substitutes |
21. Aslen Kevin 19. Brendo 14. Glauco 12. Joanderson (G) 15. Kayo Lopes 20. Michel Borges 17. Paulinho 18. Serginho 16. Victor Feitosa
| 18. Carlito 20. Caua 14. Davi 15. Dudu 12. Eduardo Freire (G) 16. Guilherme L. 22. Gustavo Silva 6. Matheus Mega
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| Coaches |
Marcelo Caranhato
| Roger Silva
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Nathan ↓, Matheus Mega ↑,
- 27', Wallisson 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Mateus Goncalves ⚽, Neto Costa (A),
- 45', Douglas Pele 🟨,
- 45+1', Jhulliam 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Felipe Benedetti ↓, Victor Feitosa ↑,
- 46', Iarley ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 54', 0 - 2, Amorim ⚽, Mateus Goncalves (A),
- 71', Mateus Goncalves ↓, Davi ↑,
- 71', Wallisson ↓, Carlito ↑,
- 71', Bruninho ↓, Michel Borges ↑,
- 78', Carlito 🟨,
- 80', Watson ↓, Breno Cezar ↑,
- 81', Mage ↓, Aslen Kevin ↑,
- 81', Caick ↓, Caua ↑,
- 87', Fernandinho ↓, Brendo ↑,
- 88', Diego Vitor 🟨,
- 90+1', Rodrigo 🟨,
Preview
1st leg.Last 5 head-to-head matches Uberlândia won 2. One and the other team get a very uncertain game. Athletic will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Uberlândia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.5:1.2). Including matches at home between the teams Uberlândia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.8:1.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro | | | 09.02.25 | Uberlândia - Athletic Club | 3:0 | | 16.03.24 | Athletic Club - Uberlândia | 0:0 | | 09.03.24 | Uberlândia - Athletic Club | 2:2 | | 24.02.24 | Uberlândia - Athletic Club | 2:1 | | 26.01.22 | Uberlândia - Athletic Club | 0:1 | | 11.04.21 | Uberlândia - Athletic Club | 2:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;