Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Pozuelo de Alarcón		Carabanchel

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2	3.1	3.45
	2.22	2.96	3.41	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2.03	3.13	3.46
	2.12	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.89)	3 ↓ (3.3)	3.44 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pozuelo de Alarcón
43.4%

Draw
30.2%

Carabanchel
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

26.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pozuelo de Alarcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Gutierrez H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 🟥,
81', 1 - 1, Clinton ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 1.

Pozuelo de Alarcón is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Carabanchel has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pozuelo de Alarcón will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Pozuelo de Alarcon	5	1	3	1	7:10	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.12.25	Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - San Sebastian Reyes B	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Racing Madrid - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Unión Adarve - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWTT
- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.12.25	Carabanchel - Leganés B	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Trival Valderas - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Carabanchel - Torrejón	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Parla - Carabanchel	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.02.22	Carabanchel - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0
17.10.21	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	0:1
25.04.21	Carabanchel - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:2
04.04.21	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	2:4
20.01.19	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	2:0
02.09.18	Carabanchel - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1

Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide