Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Praviano		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	6.9	3.75	1.43
	8.27	3.76	1.43	Watch
	8.5	3.6	1.4
	8.95	3.7	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.16 ↑ (6.03)	3.7 ↑ (3.6)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Praviano
11.1%

Draw
24.5%

Covadonga
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

25.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

24.8%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Praviano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Praviano than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Praviano - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Toquero ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
67', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Praviano won 0.

Praviano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Covadonga is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Covadonga is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Praviano won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Praviano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Covadonga	5	4	1	0	14:4	10	13
12	Praviano	5	1	1	3	6:8	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Praviano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
15.02.26	Avilés Stadium - Praviano	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Praviano - Llanera	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Real Titánico - Praviano	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Praviano - Llanes	3:3 ✺
18.01.26	Sporting de Gijón B - Praviano	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTL
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
15.02.26	Covadonga - Lenense	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	San Martín - Covadonga	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Covadonga - Tuilla	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Covadonga - Avilés Stadium	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Llanera - Covadonga	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
11.10.25	Covadonga - Praviano	2:1
16.02.25	Covadonga - Praviano	1:0
12.03.23	Praviano - Covadonga	2:2
06.11.22	Covadonga - Praviano	2:0
17.04.22	Covadonga - Praviano	2:0
08.12.21	Praviano - Covadonga	0:0
22.12.18	Covadonga - Praviano	2:2

Praviano - Covadonga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide