Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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San Martín |
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Covadonga |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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6.7 |
3.7 |
1.44 |
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6.67 |
3.68 |
1.5 |
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6.99 |
3.68 |
1.49 |
 Watch |
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7 |
3.4 |
1.5 |
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6.55 |
3.56 |
1.57 |
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6.66 |
3.66 |
1.48 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.76 ↑
(6.6) |
3.61 ↑
(3.55) |
1.5 ↓
(1.51) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Martín
13.5% | Draw
25.3% | Covadonga
61.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+1.7%)San Martín - Covadonga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Madrigal S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 1.In recent matches, San Martín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Covadonga is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, Covadonga is the obvious favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 13 |
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| 11 | EI San Martin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 | | | 28.09.25 | Covadonga - San Martín | 3:1 | | 04.05.25 | Covadonga - San Martín | 1:1 | | 22.12.24 | San Martín - Covadonga | 1:0 | | 06.03.22 | San Martín - Covadonga | 0:0 | | 01.03.20 | Covadonga - San Martín | 6:1 | | 09.09.18 | Covadonga - San Martín | 3:2 |
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