Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 22

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Location: Genis Steel Stadium (Melbourne)


	Preston Lions		Bentleigh Greens

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.75	7.00
	1.26	4.95	8.5
	1.25	6.14	10.17
	1.31	5.22	8.63	Watch
	1.21	6.05	10
	1.28	5.81	8.85	Watch
	1.27	5	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.47)	5.42 ↑ (3.85)	8.82 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston Lions
72.4%

Draw
17.1%

Bentleigh Greens
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

23.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

21.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Preston Lions's performance.

Bentleigh Greens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bentleigh Greens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Preston Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentleigh Greens than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Preston Lions - Bentleigh Greens Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (2.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Preston has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bentleigh Greens has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Preston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Preston is the clear favorite.

We predict that Preston will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Preston won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Preston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston Lions
Australian Cup
21.07.26	Preston Lions - Newcastle Jets	3:2 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
18.07.26	South Melbourne - Preston Lions	0:0 ✺
10.07.26	Preston Lions - Hume City	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Avondale - Preston Lions	2:3 ✺
27.06.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Preston Lions	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTWWW
- Bentleigh Greens
Australian NPL Victoria
17.07.26	Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong City	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Green Gully - Bentleigh Greens	3:0 ✺
26.06.26	Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic	0:1 ✺
19.06.26	Bentleigh Greens - South Melbourne	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
17.04.26	Bentleigh Greens - Preston Lions	1:1
Australian Victoria Premier League
21.06.24	Preston Lions - Bentleigh Greens	2:1

Preston Lions - Bentleigh Greens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide