Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 20

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: George Andrews Reserve (Melbourne)


	Dandenong Thunder		Bentleigh Greens

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.80	3.80	1.75
	4.05	3.95	1.62
	4.2	4.66	1.65
	3.68	4.52	1.73	Watch
	4	4.6	1.6
	4.37	4.16	1.66	Watch
	4.1	4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (2.31)	4.24 ↑ (3.65)	1.67 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dandenong Thunder
22.9%

Draw
21.7%

Bentleigh Greens
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

24.5%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandenong Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dandenong Thunder's form might have worsened.

Bentleigh Greens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bentleigh Greens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dandenong Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bentleigh Greens than the current prediction. (-22.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bentleigh Greens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bentleigh Greens will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bentleigh Greens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Bentleigh Greens (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bentleigh Greens (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder won 1.

Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.

Dandenong Thunder may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bentleigh Greens is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong Thunder won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria
05.07.26	South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Dandenong Thunder - Hume City	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Avondale - Dandenong Thunder	11:0 ✺
06.06.26	Dandenong Thunder - Caroline Springs George Cross	2:3 ✺
29.05.26	Heidelberg United - Dandenong Thunder	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bentleigh Greens
Australian NPL Victoria
03.07.26	Green Gully - Bentleigh Greens	3:0 ✺
26.06.26	Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic	0:1 ✺
19.06.26	Bentleigh Greens - South Melbourne	1:5 ✺
05.06.26	Bentleigh Greens - Hume City	1:5 ✺
30.05.26	Avondale - Bentleigh Greens	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
27.03.26	Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong Thunder	2:1
17.06.23	Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens	1:1
17.03.23	Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong Thunder	0:3
16.07.22	Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens	2:2
15.04.22	Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong Thunder	2:0
12.03.21	Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens	1:2
29.02.20	Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens	1:0

Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide