Match Info
NPL Victoria - Round 20Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: George Andrews Reserve (Melbourne)
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Dandenong Thunder |
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Bentleigh Greens |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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3.80 |
3.80 |
1.75 |
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4.05 |
3.95 |
1.62 |
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4.2 |
4.66 |
1.65 |
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3.68 |
4.52 |
1.73 |
Watch |
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4 |
4.6 |
1.6 |
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4.37 |
4.16 |
1.66 |
Watch |
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4.1 |
4 |
1.65 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.03 ↑
(2.31) |
4.24 ↑
(3.65) |
1.67 ↓
(2.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dandenong Thunder
22.9% | Draw
21.7% | Bentleigh Greens
55.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dandenong Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dandenong Thunder's form might have worsened.Bentleigh Greens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bentleigh Greens's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (+18.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dandenong Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bentleigh Greens than the current prediction. (-22.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bentleigh Greens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bentleigh Greens (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - over (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Bentleigh Greens (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bentleigh Greens will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bentleigh Greens (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder won 1.Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.Dandenong Thunder may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Bentleigh Greens is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.5:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong Thunder won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 18:44 | -26 | 16 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 22:43 | -21 | 15 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Victoria | | | 27.03.26 | Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong Thunder | 2:1 | | 17.06.23 | Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens | 1:1 | | 17.03.23 | Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong Thunder | 0:3 | | 16.07.22 | Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens | 2:2 | | 15.04.22 | Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong Thunder | 2:0 | | 12.03.21 | Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens | 1:2 | | 29.02.20 | Dandenong Thunder - Bentleigh Greens | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
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