Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 17

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday

Location: Kingston Heath Soccer Complex (Melbourne)


	Bentleigh Greens		South Melbourne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.90	3.60	1.77
	3.85	3.6	1.75
	3.8	3.91	1.8
	1.00	1.00	1.01	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.75
	4.32	3.85	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.3)	3.24 ↓ (3.73)	1.62 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bentleigh Greens
23.8%

Draw
25.4%

South Melbourne
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

24.2%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

22.6%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bentleigh Greens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentleigh Greens than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bentleigh Greens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Melbourne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bentleigh Greens - South Melbourne Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. South Melbourne will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Cocks A. ⚽,
4', 0 - 2, Bonada N. ⚽,
25', 0 - 3, Uchida Y. ⚽,
37', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 1 - 4, Pope J. ⚽,
85', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bentleigh Greens won 0.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, South Melbourne is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bentleigh Greens won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bentleigh Greens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bentleigh Greens
Australian NPL Victoria
05.06.26	Bentleigh Greens - Hume City	1:5 ✺
30.05.26	Avondale - Bentleigh Greens	4:0 ✺
22.05.26	Bentleigh Greens - Caroline Springs George Cross	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Bentleigh Greens - Heidelberg United	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Bentleigh Greens - Melbourne City Youth	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTL
- South Melbourne FC
Australian NPL Victoria
07.06.26	South Melbourne - Altona Magic	2:3 ✺
30.05.26	Hume City - South Melbourne	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	South Melbourne - Avondale	0:4 ✺
OFC Pro League
23.05.26	South Melbourne - Auckland FC 2	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	South Melbourne - Vanuatu United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
07.03.26	South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens	1:0
15.07.23	Bentleigh Greens - South Melbourne	0:2
15.04.23	South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens	1:0
28.05.22	South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens	3:2
25.02.22	Bentleigh Greens - South Melbourne	2:3
22.05.21	South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens	1:1
26.05.19	South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens	3:2

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