Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 23

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: B.T. Connor Reserve (Melbourne)


	Preston Lions		Melbourne Victory Youth

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.6	5.75
	1.55	4.25	4.55
	1.6	4.65	4.84
	1.44	4.83	5.80	Watch
	1.44	4.33	5.5
	1.51	4.33	4.85
	1.61	4.2	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.7)	4.46 ↑ (4)	5.08 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston Lions
61.1%

Draw
20.7%

Melbourne Victory Youth
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

22.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

22.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Preston Lions's performance.

Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Victory Youth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Preston Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Preston Lions - Melbourne Victory Youth Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Victory Youth will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 50%). Victory Youth (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Victory Youth (3.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Victory Youth (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Victory Youth (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Markovski J. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).

In recent matches, Preston Lions has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Victory Youth's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Preston Lions is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Preston Lions won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
18.07.25	Preston Lions - Melbourne Knights	3:0 ✺
06.07.25	Preston Lions - Port Melbourne Sharks	5:0 ✺
27.06.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Preston Lions	4:0 ✺
22.06.25	Preston Lions - Avondale	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	South Melbourne - Preston Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLTL
- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
20.07.25	St Albans Dinamo - Melbourne Victory Youth	3:1 ✺
04.07.25	Green Gully - Melbourne Victory Youth	4:1 ✺
30.06.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Melbourne Knights	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Port Melbourne Sharks	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Melbourne Victory Youth	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
14.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Preston Lions	0:0
Australian Victoria Premier League
27.05.24	Melbourne Victory Youth - Preston Lions	2:2

Preston Lions - Melbourne Victory Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide