Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 21

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Green Gully		Melbourne Victory Youth

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.6	5
	1.55	4.25	4.25
	1.59	4.59	4.47
				Watch
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.55	4.4	4.44
	1.41	4.65	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 (1.51)	4.5 (4.5)	4.75 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Green Gully
60.6%

Draw
20.3%

Melbourne Victory Youth
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

20.2%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

15.9%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Green Gully has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Green Gully that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Victory Youth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Green Gully - Melbourne Victory Youth Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Green Gully (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Abdallah A. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Wall P. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, Lochhead S. ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, Jok D. ⚽,
87', 4 - 1, Hope J. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).

Green Gully has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Victory Youth's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Green Gully is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Green Gully won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Green Gully won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Green Gully SC
Australian NPL Victoria
27.06.25	Green Gully - Altona Magic	2:3 ✺
20.06.25	Melbourne Knights - Green Gully	1:4 ✺
13.06.25	Dandenong City - Green Gully	0:0 ✺
06.06.25	Green Gully - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:0 ✺
30.05.25	Hume City - Green Gully	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTTL
- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
30.06.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Melbourne Knights	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Port Melbourne Sharks	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Melbourne Victory Youth	2:5 ✺
09.06.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Avondale	2:3 ✺
01.06.25	South Melbourne - Melbourne Victory Youth	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
29.03.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Green Gully	1:2
13.08.16	Green Gully - Melbourne Victory Youth	2:1
14.05.16	Melbourne Victory Youth - Green Gully	2:5

Green Gully - Melbourne Victory Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide