Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 8 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Deepdale (Preston)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)


	Preston North End		Salford City

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.2	4.5
	1.7	3.9	4.75
	1.68	4	4.75
	1.67	4.2	4.71
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.65	4.05	4.9	Watch
	1.7	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)	4.01 ↓ (4.12)	4.73 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
56.7%

Draw
23.4%

Salford City
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

22%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Preston North End - Salford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Salford will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Cornell D. (G) 14. Storey J. 5. Bauer P. 26. Whatmough J. (C) 30. Taylor K. 32. Leigh L. 36. Seary J. 25. Holmes D. 33. Best K. 20. Woodburn B. 7. Keane W.	1. Cairns A. (C) 5. Mariappa A. 42. Vassell T. 16. Tilt C. 14. Mallan S. 29. Garbutt L. 18. McAleny C. 7. Watson R. 24. Bolton L. 9. Hendry C. 11. McLennan C.
Substitutes
8. Browne A. 10. Frokjaer M. 16. Hughes A. 18. Ledson R. 6. Lindsay L. 35. Mawene N. 13. McCann A. 24. Rodriguez Gentile F. 1. Woodman F. (G)	4. Ashley O. 10. Bailey O. 23. Berkoe K. 36. Dackers M. 48. Henderson A. 8. Lund M. 32. Shephard L. 17. Smith M. 13. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Lowe R.	Wood N.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Salford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Preston is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
05.08.23	Bristol City - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Stockport County - Preston North End	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Fleetwood Town - Preston North End	0:0 ✺
22.07.23	Preston North End - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
19.07.23	Preston North End - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTWL
- Salford City
English League Two
05.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Salford City	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Fylde - Salford City	2:0 ✺
22.07.23	Salford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Salford City - West Bromwich Albion	2:2 ✺
15.07.23	Derby County - Salford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLTT

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