Match Info

Championship - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Stoke City		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.25	3.75	Watch
	2.03	3.45	3.7	Watch
	2.01	3.34	3.89	Watch
	2	3.2	3.7
	2.09	3.39	3.91	Watch
	2.08	3.14	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.07)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)	3.83 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
46.6%

Draw
28.7%

Preston North End
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

29.3%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	26.3%	31.6%

Stoke City - Preston North End Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Preston will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 25%). Preston (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (G) 18. Lawal B. 26. Phillips A. 16. Wilmot B. (C) 3. Cresswell A. 12. Seko T. 4. Pearson B. 42. Manhoef M. 10. Bae J. 7. Thomas S. 9. Mubama D.	1. Iversen D. (G) 42. Offiah O. 14. Storey J. 16. Hughes A. 2. Valentin P. 8. McCann A. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 5. Armstrong H. 26. Small T. 24. Smith M. 9. Jebbison D.
Substitutes
13. Bonham J. (G) 11. Bozenik R. 29. Cisse L. 14. Donley J. 20. Gallagher S. 23. Gibson B. 15. N'Zonzi S. 19. Rigo T. 40. Talovierov M.	21. Devine A. 10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 7. Keane W. 18. Lewis J. 6. Lindsay L. 35. Mawene N. 44. Potts B. 15. Thompson J. 12. Walton J. (G)
Coaches
Robins M.	Heckingbottom P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Valentin P. 🟨,
40', Cresswell A. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Wilmot B. 🟨,
62', McCann A. 🟨,
67', McCann A. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
72', Armstrong H. ↓, Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↑,
72', Jebbison D. ↓, Devine A. ↑,
76', Mubama D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
84', Small T. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
86', Bae J. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
90+1', Gibson B. 🟨,
90+6', Bozenik R. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1.

Stoke has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Preston is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stoke might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Ankle Injury) Tchamadeu J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Lewis J. (Hamstring Injury) Osmajic M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Preston: Carroll T. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Stoke City - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Preston North End - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 26.19%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
20.12.25	Watford - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Stoke City - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
10.12.25	Ipswich Town - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Sheffield United - Stoke City	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Stoke City - Hull City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Preston North End
English League Championship
20.12.25	Preston North End - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Oxford United - Preston North End	1:2 ✺
09.12.25	Preston North End - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Preston North End - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Preston North End	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.04.25	Preston North End - Stoke City	1:1
26.11.24	Stoke City - Preston North End	0:0
09.03.24	Preston North End - Stoke City	1:2
02.09.23	Stoke City - Preston North End	0:2
02.01.23	Stoke City - Preston North End	0:1
15.10.22	Preston North End - Stoke City	0:2
03.01.22	Stoke City - Preston North End	1:2

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