Match Info

Championship - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Deepdale (Preston)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)


	Preston North End		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2.1
	3.37	3.37	2.18	Watch
	3.49	3.44	2.19
	1.69	3.70	4.99	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.1
	3.38	3.34	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.8)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.56 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
31.4%

Draw
29.5%

Ipswich Town
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

27.5%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

27%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Preston North End's performance.

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ipswich Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Preston North End that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ipswich Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	15%	45%

Preston North End - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Ipswich will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ipswich (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Preston (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ipswich (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iversen D. (G) 2. Valentin P. 26. Small T. 16. Hughes A. 19. Gibson L. 14. Storey J. 8. McCann A. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 28. Osmajic M. 24. Smith M. 21. Devine A.	1. Palmer A. (G) 18. Johnson B. 3. Davis L. 14. Taylor J. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 24. Greaves J. 47. Clarke J. 5. Matusiwa A. 9. Hirst G. 23. Szmodics S. 11. Philogene J.
Substitutes
20. Carroll T. 99. Dobbin L. 98. Gryba G. 9. Jebbison D. 6. Lindsay L. 42. Offiah O. 22. Thordarson S. T. 3. Vukcevic A. 12. Walton J. (G)	98. Akpom Ch. 12. Cajuste J. 10. Chaplin C. 4. Kipre C. 99. McAteer K. 21. Ogbene C. 28. Walton C. (G) 6. Woolfenden L. 15. Young A.
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Osmajic M. (Pen),
26', Hughes A. 🟨,
40', Johnson B. 🟨,
45+1', Valentin P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Philogene J. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
66', Johnson B. ↓, Young A. ↑,
66', Clarke J. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
73', Devine A. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,
73', Valentin P. ↓, Offiah O. ↑,
73', Smith M. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
77', Szmodics S. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
77', Matusiwa A. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
78', Hughes A. ↓, Lindsay L. ↑,
82', Osmajic M. 🟨,
84', McAteer K. 🟨,
84', Small T. 🟨,
86', Small T. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
90+2', Thordarson S. T. 🟨,
90+5', McCann A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ipswich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Preston has had a series of away games.

Ipswich will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Frokjaer-Jensen M. (Groin Injury) Jebbison D. (Ankle Injury) Thompson J. (Abdominal strain)

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Knee Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Preston won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Preston North End - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.59%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
16.08.25	Preston North End - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Barrow - Preston North End	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
09.08.25	Queens Park Rangers - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Bolton Wanderers - Preston North End	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Getafe - Preston North End	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTLT
- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
17.08.25	Ipswich Town - Southampton	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Bromley - Ipswich Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Championship
08.08.25	Birmingham City - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Auxerre - Ipswich Town	0:3 ✺
29.07.25	Ipswich Town - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
03.02.24	Preston North End - Ipswich Town	3:2
07.10.23	Ipswich Town - Preston North End	4:2
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Preston North End - Ipswich Town	1:2
English League Championship
19.04.19	Preston North End - Ipswich Town	4:0
03.11.18	Ipswich Town - Preston North End	1:1
24.02.18	Preston North End - Ipswich Town	0:1
04.11.17	Ipswich Town - Preston North End	3:0

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