Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Preussenstadion (Munster)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 6
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
World	Onefootball


	Preußen Münster		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.23	2.95	3.15	Watch
	2.34	3.25	3.45
	2.26	3.26	3.33	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.29	3.15	3.36	Watch
	2.23	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.86)	3.11 ↓ (3.49)	3.28 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preußen Münster
41.4%

Draw
30.1%

Jahn Regensburg
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

25.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Preußen Münster's form might have worsened.

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jahn Regensburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Preußen Münster, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jahn Regensburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	25%	18.7%

Preußen Münster - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Münster will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Regensburg will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Münster: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schenk J. (G) 15. Scherder S. 24. Koulis N. 29. Frenkert L. 27. ter Horst J. 20. Hendrix J. 32. Bazzoli L. 18. Lorenz M. (C) 4. Kinsombi D. 13. Pick F. 30. Amenyido E.	1. Gebhardt F. (C) 37. Wurm L. 5. Bulic R. 16. Breunig L. 33. Proger K. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 3. Hein B. 15. Ernst S. 10. Viet C. 9. Hottmann E. 22. Adamyan S.
Substitutes
26. Behrens M. (G) 25. Bolay L. 5. Bouchama Y. 11. Deters T. 31. Fridjonsson H. 7. Kyerewaa D. 21. Preissinger R. 22. Schad D. 41. Steinfeldt L.	27. Ananou F. 25. Bauer J. 20. Ganaus N. 8. Geipl A. 29. Huth E. 36. Kieffer B. 31. Meyer M. 32. Weidinger A. (G) 14. Ziegele R.
Coaches
Hildmann S.	Patz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Adamyan S. 🟨,
19', Amenyido E. 🟨,
24', Bazzoli L. 🟨,
35', Amenyido E. ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑,
42', 1 - 0, Fridjonsson H. ⚽, Kinsombi D. (A),
43', Gebhardt F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Ernst S. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
65', Hottmann E. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
67', ter Horst J. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Scherder S. ⚽, Lorenz M. (A),
71', Hendrix J. ↓, Preissinger R. ↑,
71', Kinsombi D. ↓, Bouchama Y. ↑,
73', Bulic R. 🟨,
78', Fridjonsson H. 🟨,
81', Proger K. ↓, Ganaus N. ↑,
81', Viet C. ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
84', Koulis N. 🟨,
86', Pick F. ↓, Schad D. ↑,
86', Lorenz M. ↓, Kyerewaa D. ↑,
90+4', Preissinger R. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Münster won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Regensburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Münster will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Münster: Batmaz M. (Knee Injury) Kirkeskov M. (Yellow Cards) Mees J. (Yellow Cards) Nemeth A. (Hand Injury) Paetow T. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Regensburg: Ballas F. (Hip Injury) Schmidt C. (Knee Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Regensburg: Bittroff A. (Muscle Injury) Saller B. (Groin Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Münster won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Münster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Jahn Regensburg - the odds 4.06 are the expected chance of winning is 22.99%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga
14.02.25	Paderborn - Preußen Münster	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Preußen Münster - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Kaiserslautern - Preußen Münster	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Hannover - Preußen Münster	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Preußen Münster - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLTW
- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
16.02.25	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Jahn Regensburg - Hertha Berlin	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg	5:1 ✺
17.01.25	Jahn Regensburg - Hannover	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
22.09.24	Jahn Regensburg - Preußen Münster	0:3
German 3 Bundesliga
06.04.24	Preußen Münster - Jahn Regensburg	1:3
28.10.23	Jahn Regensburg - Preußen Münster	2:1
20.05.17	Preußen Münster - Jahn Regensburg	0:1
17.12.16	Jahn Regensburg - Preußen Münster	3:1
07.03.15	Preußen Münster - Jahn Regensburg	3:0
13.09.14	Jahn Regensburg - Preußen Münster	0:1

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