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Current Win Probability
Jahn Regensburg 22.4%
Draw 25%
Hertha Berlin 52.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.4%
24.5%
52.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
24.1%
53%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.7%
13%
78.3%
Jahn Regensburg - Hertha Berlin Predictions
Users Predictions:
Hertha Berlin will win
(18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%). Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gebhardt F. (G) 14. Ziegele R. 5. Bulic R. 16. Breunig L. 15. Ernst S. 8. Geipl A. (C) 3. Hein B. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 33. Proger K. 9. Hottmann E. 22. Adamyan S.
35. Gersbeck M. (G) 16. Kenny J. 37. Leistner T. 44. Gechter L. 42. Zeefuik D. 27. Cuisance M. 41. Klemens P. 10. Maza I. 22. Winkler M. 9. Prevljak S. 39. Scherhant D.
Substitutes
27. Ananou F. 20. Ganaus N. 2. Handwerker T. 29. Huth E. 36. Kieffer B. 23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 34. Suhonen A. 10. Viet C. 37. Wurm L.
5. Bouchalakis A. 20. Dardai P. 1. Ernst T. (G) 33. Karbownik M. 7. Niederlechner F. 11. Reese F. 18. Schuler L. 8. Sessa K. 24. Thorsteinsson J. D.
Coaches
Patz A.
Fiel C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Ziegele R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Kuhlwetter C. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Prevljak S. ↓, Reese F. ↑,
59', Winkler M. ↓, Niederlechner F. ↑,
59', Klemens P. ↓, Sessa K. ↑,
67', Hottmann E. ↓, Ganaus N. ↑,
68', Adamyan S. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
73', Cuisance M. ↓, Karbownik M. ↑,
85', Scherhant D. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
88', Kuhlwetter C. ↓, Viet C. ↑,
90+2', Breunig L. ↓, Wurm L. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Huth E. ⚽, Ernst S. (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 12).
Recent matches Regensburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Hertha is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Regensburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Hertha is a favorite.
There will not play in Regensburg: Galjen D.
(Knee Injury)
Meyer M.
(Broken ankle)
Schmidt C.
(Knee Injury)
Schonfelder O.
(Knee Injury)
Wurm L.
(Injury)
There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. A.
(Ankle Injury)
Dudziak J.
(Groin Injury)
Hussein B.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Regensburg: Ochojski N.
(Injury)
Saller B.
(Groin Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.8:2.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 1:3.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Jahn Regensburg - the odds 4.05 are the expected chance of winning is 23.39%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.