Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 4
World	Onefootball


	Jahn Regensburg		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.6	Watch
	4.7	3.75	1.62	Watch
	5.32	4.21	1.65
	5.04	4.11	1.64	Watch
	4.8	3.9	1.65	Watch
	4.94	4.25	1.63	Watch
	4.7	3.75	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (4.93)	4.01 ↓ (4.12)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
19%

Draw
23.4%

Hamburger SV
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

22.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

21.9%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Jahn Regensburg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	17.6%	82.4%

Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gebhardt F. (C) 5. Bulic R. 16. Breunig L. 37. Wurm L. 33. Proger K. 34. Suhonen A. 30. Kuhlwetter C. 3. Hein B. 15. Ernst S. 9. Hottmann E. 22. Adamyan S.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 30. Hefti S. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 28. Muheim M. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 23. Meffert J. 20. Richter M. 29. Sahiti E. 27. Selke D. 7. Dompe J.
Substitutes
27. Ananou F. 20. Ganaus N. 2. Handwerker T. 29. Huth E. 36. Kieffer B. 11. Ochojski N. 23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 10. Viet C. 14. Ziegele R.	8. Elfadli D. 17. Karabec A. 16. Mebude A. 12. Mickel T. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 6. Poreba L. 14. Reis L. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A. 49. Stange O.
Coaches
Raychouni M.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Adamyan S. ⚽, Hottmann E. (A),
31', Richter M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Selke D. (Pen),
56', Suhonen A. 🟨,
58', Hefti S. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
59', Richter M. ↓, Reis L. ↑,
63', Suhonen A. ↓, Viet C. ↑,
74', Sahiti E. 🟨,
75', Proger K. ↓, Ganaus N. ↑,
75', Hottmann E. ↓, Ananou F. ↑,
75', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
75', Meffert J. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
76', Sahiti E. 🟨,
76', Reis L. 🟨,
80', Schonlau S. ↓, Elfadli D. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Selke D. (Pen),
89', Hein B. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
89', Adamyan S. ↓, Handwerker T. ↑,
90+1', Elfadli D. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 0.

Recent matches Regensburg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamburg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Regensburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Regensburg: Ballas F. (Hip Injury) Bittroff A. (Muscle Injury) Galjen D. (Knee Injury) Schmidt C. (Knee Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Balde F. (Muscle Injury) Jatta B. (Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand)

There are questionable in Regensburg: Bauer J. (Illness) Ochojski N. (Injury) Saller B. (Groin Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:30 (average 1.5:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1.6:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
07.02.25	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Jahn Regensburg - Hertha Berlin	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg	5:1 ✺
17.01.25	Jahn Regensburg - Hannover	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Unterhaching - Jahn Regensburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLLW
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
07.02.25	Preußen Münster - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Hamburger SV - Hannover	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	2:3 ✺
18.01.25	Hamburger SV - Köln	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.25	FCSB - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
15.09.24	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	5:0
14.05.23	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:5
06.11.22	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	3:1
23.04.22	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	2:4
20.11.21	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	4:1
25.04.21	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:1
03.01.21	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	3:1

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