Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Arminia Bielefeld		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.7	2.7	Watch
	2.32	3.5	2.72	Watch
	2.42	3.73	2.89
	2.28	3.73	2.89	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.43	3.79	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.23)	3.64 ↓ (3.78)	2.77 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
40%

Draw
25.9%

Darmstadt
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

25%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Darmstadt (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 31. Knoche R. 5. Bauer M. 17. Sicker A. 14. Momuluh T. 38. Worl M. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 11. Grodowski J. 7. Telalovic S.	1. Schuhen M. (C) 2. Lopez S. 6. Pfeiffer P. 5. Maglica M. 15. Nurnberger F. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Akiyama H. 23. Richter M. 9. Hornby F. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I.
Substitutes
27. Boakye B. 19. Grosser M. 2. Hagmann F. 29. Handwerker T. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 22. Rochelt J. 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 8. Schreck S. 28. Uldrikis R.	26. Bader M. 30. Brunst A. (G) 44. Furukawa Y. 32. Holland F. 19. Lakenmacher F. 21. Papela M. 18. Petretta R. 31. Schmidt N. 20. Vukotic A.
Coaches
Kniat M.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Russo S. 🟨,
6', 0 - 1, Maglica M. ⚽, Hornby F. (A),
17', Klefisch K. 🟨,
19', Nurnberger F. 🟨,
24', Lidberg I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lidberg I. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Telalovic S. ⚽, Momuluh T. (A),
58', Lopez S. 🟨,
62', Nurnberger F. ↓, Petretta R. ↑,
62', Lopez S. ↓, Bader M. ↑,
69', Momuluh T. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
69', Grodowski J. ↓, Boakye B. ↑,
73', Boakye B. 🟨,
73', Richter M. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
75', Telalovic S. ↓, Rochelt J. ↑,
77', Pfeiffer P. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Rochelt J. ⚽,
84', Akiyama H. ↓, Schmidt N. ↑,
88', Lannert C. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
88', Worl M. ↓, Grosser M. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 3.

Recent form of Arminia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Darmstadt's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Arminia: Felix J. (Shoulder Injury) Mehlem M. (Red Card) Richter D. (Knee Injury) Young I. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bialek B. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Darmstadt: 1% Arminia Bielefeld: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Arminia Bielefeld	7	2	2	3	11:12	-1	8
14	Darmstadt	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Arminia Bielefeld - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.39%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
Club Friendly
25.03.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Eintracht Braunschweig	4:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Elversberg - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTLL
- SV Darmstadt 98
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Darmstadt - Saarbrücken	4:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.11.25	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2
11.03.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt	3:1
04.09.22	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
18.06.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt	1:0
01.12.19	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	1:3
03.03.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt	1:0
25.09.18	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2

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