Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Elversberg		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	2	3.75	3.3	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.5
	1.92	3.65	3.45	Watch
	2.01	3.95	3.69
	1.97	3.81	3.55	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.3
	1.95	3.7	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.89)	3.74 ↓ (3.92)	3.47 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
47.8%

Draw
25.1%

Arminia Bielefeld
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

24.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

23.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Elversberg - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 21. Gunther L. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 22. Pherai I. 10. Conte B. 29. Zimmerschied T. 24. Schnellbacher L.	1. Kersken J. (G) 27. Boakye B. 5. Bauer M. 19. Grosser M. 29. Handwerker T. 10. Mehlem M. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 14. Momuluh T. 11. Grodowski J. 37. Sarenren Bazee N.
Substitutes
15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 6. Conde A. 43. Keidel F. 3. Le Joncour F. 2. Mickelson N. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D. 16. Pfeiffer L. 17. Schmahl F.	31. Knoche R. 24. Lannert C. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 22. Rochelt J. 8. Schreck S. 17. Sicker A. 7. Telalovic S. 28. Uldrikis R. 38. Worl M.
Coaches
Wagner V.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Conte B. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, Petkov L. ⚽, Schnellbacher L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Grodowski J. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
46', Sarenren Bazee N. ↓, Rochelt J. ↑,
51', Mehlem M. 🟥,
62', Gunther L. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
63', Schnellbacher L. ↓, Mokwa Ntusu D. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Petkov L. ⚽, Gyamerah J. (A),
74', Momuluh T. ↓, Sicker A. ↑,
74', Boakye B. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Conde A. ⚽, Zimmerschied T. (A),
81', Handwerker T. ↓, Knoche R. ↑,
82', Pherai I. ↓, Le Joncour F. ↑,
82', Pinckert L. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Lannert C. ⚽, Russo S. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).

Elversberg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arminia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Elversberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Elversberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Feil M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Arminia: Felix J. (Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury) Young I. (Leg Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10:12	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
13.03.26	Greuther Fürth - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Elversberg - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Elversberg - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTWW
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
14.03.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg	2:0

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