Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 32

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday

Location: Preussenstadion (Munster)


	Preußen Münster		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.1	5.25
	1.42	4.2	5.8
	1.54	4.2	5.65
	1.51	4.25	5.65
	1.49	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.3)	4.19 ↓ (5)	5.59 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preußen Münster
61.7%

Draw
21.9%

Fortuna Köln
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

18.3%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

17.8%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Preußen Münster's form might have worsened.

Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortuna Köln's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Preußen Münster, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Köln, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.8%	0%	4.2%

Preußen Münster - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: Preußen Münster will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Münster won 3.

Münster is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fortuna Köln is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Münster is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Münster to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Münster won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Münster won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preußen Münster
German Regionalliga West
22.04.23	Preußen Münster - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	2:0 ✺
19.04.23	Kaan-Marienborn - Preußen Münster	3:3 ✺
15.04.23	Düren - Preußen Münster	Preussen Munster awarded ✺
08.04.23	Preußen Münster - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	2:0 ✺
05.04.23	Rödinghausen - Preußen Münster	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WT?WT
- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
21.04.23	Fortuna Köln - Straelen	3:2 ✺
15.04.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Fortuna Köln	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Fortuna Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Fortuna Köln	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Düren - Fortuna Köln	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
06.11.22	Fortuna Köln - Preußen Münster	1:3
19.04.22	Preußen Münster - Fortuna Köln	1:0
01.10.21	Fortuna Köln - Preußen Münster	3:2
08.05.21	Preußen Münster - Fortuna Köln	3:1
25.11.20	Fortuna Köln - Preußen Münster	2:0
Club Friendly
10.07.19	Fortuna Köln - Preußen Münster	0:1
German 3 Bundesliga
22.12.18	Preußen Münster - Fortuna Köln	0:2

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