Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 13

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Prisons		Singida Black Stars

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.2	1.72
	5.31	4.38	1.45
	4.56	3.59	1.7	Watch
	5	3.3	1.57
	5.38	3.64	1.56
	4	3	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (3.85)	3.52 ↑ (3.08)	1.65 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prisons
19%

Draw
25.9%

Singida Black Stars
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

29.5%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

28.6%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prisons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Singida Black Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Singida Black Stars's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prisons than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Singida Black Stars than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Singida Black Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Prisons - Singida Black Stars Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Singida Black Stars will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Singida Black Stars will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Mbisa M. (G) 27. Chanongo H. 10. Juma J. . Martin E. 47. Mhilu M. 8. Mpole G. 15. Mutinda M. . Owino M. 19. Ramadhan D. 26. Sabiyanka L. 46. Sadoki W.	23. Mnata M. (G) . Aucho K. 14. Guede J. 5. Imoro I. 15. Jarjou L. 26. Juma K. 6. Keyekeh E. 25. Kheri A. 7. Lyanga A. 40. Nduwumwe M. 33. Said A.
Substitutes
2. Heritier L. 25. Kaboma N. . Masoud A. 17. Mbangula S. . Mtumbuka E. 49. Mwajanga O. 3. Mwenda R. . Ochu O. 60. Sengati K.	36. Adam Y. 31. Chikola O. 24. Hassan M. 29. Issa M. 27. Kaseke D. 34. Mtange L. 12. Obasogie A. (G) 39. Rupia E. 48. Shomari R. 13. Zakaria A.

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 0.

Prisons is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Singida Black Stars's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Singida Black Stars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Prisons has had a series of home games.

In this match, Singida Black Stars is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Prisons won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Singida Black Stars	6	3	1	2	13:9	4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Prisons - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 23.58%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tanzania Prisons FC
Tanzanian Premier League
12.03.26	Prisons - Young Africans	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Prisons - Azam	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Prisons - Simba	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Prisons - Namungo	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Prisons - Coastal Union	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTLWL
- Singida Black Stars
Tanzanian Premier League
15.03.26	Mbeya City - Singida Black Stars	1:4 ✺
11.03.26	Singida Black Stars - Simba	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Singida Black Stars - Young Africans	0:3 ✺
02.03.26	Singida Black Stars - Coastal Union	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Namungo - Singida Black Stars	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
22.06.25	Singida Black Stars - Prisons	3:3
16.12.24	Prisons - Singida Black Stars	0:2
13.05.24	Prisons - Singida Black Stars	0:1
04.12.23	Singida Black Stars - Prisons	0:0
21.01.23	Prisons - Singida Black Stars	1:2
04.10.22	Singida Black Stars - Prisons	1:1
22.04.21	Singida Black Stars - Prisons	1:0

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