Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 9

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Prisons		Azam

	1	X	2
	6.9	3.75	1.43
	6.69	3.84	1.41
	7.31	3.95	1.43	Watch
	7	3.5	1.44
	7.43	3.5	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.07 ↑ (6.87)	3.71 ↑ (3.68)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prisons
12.8%

Draw
24.3%

Azam
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

24.4%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

23.9%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prisons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Azam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Prisons aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azam than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Prisons - Azam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Mbisa M. (G) . Chanongo H. . Juma J. . Kimenya S. . Mhilu M. . Mpole G. . Mutinda M. . Owino M. . Sabiyanka L. . Sadoki W. . Shabani D.	. Manula A. (G) . Akaminko J. . Hassani M. . Kibeku A. . Kitambala J. . Landry Z. . Lawi L. . Mao H. . Mwaikenda L. . Nuru T. . Omary Z.
Substitutes
. Heritier L. . Kaboma N. . Kasanga I. (G) . Martin E. . Mbangula S. . Mwajanga O. . Mwakyusa E. (G) . Sengati K. . Simon G.	. Abah A. . Chilambo N. . Foba Z. (G) . Fuentes Mendoza Y. D. . Kanoute S. . Msindo P. . Mutasingwa A. . Ngita J. . Selemani I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Omary Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Mutinda M. 🟨,
67', Mpole G. ↓, Kaboma N. ↑,
67', Sabiyanka L. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
76', Omary Z. ↓, Alobogast C. ↑,
85', Akaminko J. ↓, Kanoute S. ↑,
87', 🟨,
88', Juma J. ↓, Sengati K. ↑,
89', Chanongo H. ↓, Mwajanga O. ↑,
90', Mutinda M. ↓, Heritier L. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 0.

Prisons is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Azam is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Azam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Prisons has had a series of home games.

In this match, Azam is the obvious favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 7:31. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Prisons won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.5:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Azam	7	4	2	1	11:7	4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tanzania Prisons FC
Tanzanian Premier League
22.02.26	Prisons - Simba	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Prisons - Namungo	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Prisons - Coastal Union	1:4 ✺
06.02.26	Prisons - Mashujaa	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Prisons	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTL
- Azam FC
Tanzanian Premier League
02.03.26	Pamba - Azam	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Azam - Mtibwa Sugar	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Kinondoni MC - Azam	0:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.02.26	Wydad Casablanca - Azam	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Azam - Maniema Union	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
06.03.25	Azam - Prisons	4:0
18.10.24	Prisons - Azam	0:2
25.02.24	Prisons - Azam	1:1
28.08.23	Azam - Prisons	3:1
16.01.23	Azam - Prisons	3:0
30.09.22	Prisons - Azam	1:0
22.06.22	Azam - Prisons	1:0

Prisons - Azam: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide