Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 19

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Pro Patria		Sangiuliano City Nova

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.95	Watch
	2.35	2.8	3.05
	2.35	2.75	2.9
	2.54	2.87	2.86
	2.35	2.88	3
	2.46	2.91	2.91	Watch
	2.38	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.17)	2.87 ↑ (2.86)	2.95 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
37.8%

Draw
31.5%

Sangiuliano City Nova
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

31.1%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.7%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Sangiuliano City Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sangiuliano City Nova than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Pro Patria - Sangiuliano City Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pro Patria will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Sangiuliano City will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pro Patria: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 12).

Pro Patria is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sangiuliano City Nova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
11.12.22	Piacenza - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Pro Patria - Lecco	2:0 ✺
30.11.22	Pordenone - Pro Patria	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
19.11.22	Pro Patria - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTWL
- Sangiuliano City Nova
Italian Serie C Group A
11.12.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Triestina	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Juventus U23 - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:0 ✺
30.11.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Padova	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Pro Vercelli - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:1 ✺
19.11.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL

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