Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 16

Date: 30 November 2022, Wednesday


	Sangiuliano City Nova		Padova

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.85
	2.4	2.65	3.15
	2.27	2.9	2.9
	2.38	3.01	2.94
	2.35	3	2.9
	2.33	3.16	2.88	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.28)	2.99 ↑ (2.81)	2.94 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sangiuliano City Nova
38.9%

Draw
30.3%

Padova
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.8%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

33.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sangiuliano City Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sangiuliano City Nova than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	40.9%	27.3%

Sangiuliano City Nova - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Sangiuliano City will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Padova will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 20.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sangiuliano City Nova is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Padova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sangiuliano City Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Padova have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sangiuliano City Nova
Italian Serie C Group A
27.11.22	Pro Vercelli - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:1 ✺
19.11.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.11.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
12.11.22	AlbinoLeffe - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTT
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
27.11.22	Padova - Renate	0:1 ✺
19.11.22	Padova - AlbinoLeffe	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Padova - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
12.11.22	Pro Sesto - Padova	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Padova - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWLT

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