Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 27

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Carlo Speroni (Busto Arsizio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Pro Patria		Union Clodiense

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.75	3.75
	2.24	2.87	3.71
	2.03	2.99	4.21	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.6
	2.07	2.9	4.14	Watch
	2.05	2.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.22)	2.84 ↓ (3.08)	3.86 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
43.8%

Draw
32.4%

Union Clodiense
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.5%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

28.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Union Clodiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Clodiense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Clodiense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Pro Patria - Union Clodiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 98. Coccolo L. 13. Alcibiade R. 4. Reggiori P. 28. Somma M. 10. Nicco G. 75. Mallamo A. 18. Piran L. 32. Rocco D. 29. Toci E. 11. Pitou J.	1. Gasparini M. (G) 32. Lattanzio A. 46. Vukusic R. 21. Tavcar A. 13. Sinn L. 8. Serena F. 6. Nelli J. 11. Manfredonia M. 10. Firenze M. 18. Sinani I. 91. Zigoni G.
Substitutes
5. Bashi E. 9. Beretta G. 22. Bongini L. (G) 27. Cavalli T. 7. Curatolo D. 25. Ferri D. 17. Frattini A. 6. Mehic A. 24. Miculi M. 8. Palazzi A. 12. Pratelli L. (G) 20. Renault C. 31. Terrani G. 30. Vaglica G.	22. Agosti T. (G) 44. Cester S. 7. Kostadinov D. 24. Martignago R. 90. Mora C. 77. Pezzolato M. (G) 99. Regonesi I. 5. Salvi M. 19. Scapin T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Mallamo A. ↓, Mehic A. ↑,
24', Nelli J. ↓, Cester S. ↑,
28', Pitou J. 🟨,
34', Mehic A. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Firenze M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Alcibiade R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lattanzio A. ↓, Salvi M. ↑,
46', Somma M. ↓, Renault C. ↑,
46', Toci E. ↓, Beretta G. ↑,
47', Vukusic R. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Alcibiade R. ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, Reggiori P. ⚽,
68', Zigoni G. ↓, Martignago R. ↑,
68', Vukusic R. ↓, Kostadinov D. ↑,
70', Martignago R. 🟨,
75', Rocco D. ↓, Ferri D. ↑,
78', Firenze M. ↓, Scapin T. ↑,
83', Sinani I. 🟨,
86', Pitou J. ↓, Terrani G. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Pro Patria has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Clodiense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pro Patria will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Patria - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.92%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
09.02.25	Padova - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Novara - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Pro Patria - Vicenza Virtus	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	FeralpiSalò - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Union Clodiense SSD
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.25	Union Clodiense - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Trento - Union Clodiense	5:0 ✺
25.01.25	Union Clodiense - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Lumezzane - Union Clodiense	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Union Clodiense - Pergolettese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.10.24	Union Clodiense - Pro Patria	1:2

Pro Patria - Union Clodiense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide