The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Padova 67.9%
Draw 23%
Pro Patria 9.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.4%
20.4%
10.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.9%
19.2%
9.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Padova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Padova - Pro Patria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 72. Faedo C. 23. Granata A. 5. Perrotta M. 26. Kirwan N. 7. Varas K. 15. Bianchi N. 30. Favale G. 21. Liguori M. 17. Capelli A. 20. Bortolussi M.
1. Rovida W. (G) 5. Bashi E. 27. Cavalli T. 98. Coccolo L. 28. Somma M. 25. Ferri D. 6. Mehic A. 75. Mallamo A. 2. Barlocco L. 29. Toci E. 32. Rocco D.
Substitutes
92. Buonaiuto C. 22. Carniello M. (G) 11. Cretella C. 6. Crisetig L. 37. Montrone A. 31. Pirrello R. 10. Russini S. 16. Sala A. (G) 9. Spagnoli A. 19. Valente N. 14. Villa L.
13. Alcibiade R. 9. Beretta G. 14. Citterio G. 7. Curatolo D. 10. Nicco G. 8. Palazzi A. 18. Piran L. 12. Pratelli L. (G) 4. Reggiori P. 20. Renault C. 30. Vaglica G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Perrotta M. ↓, Pirrello R. ↑,
39', Capelli A. 🟨,
43', Ferri D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Granata A. ↓, Spagnoli A. ↑,
49', Bianchi N. 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Spagnoli A. ⚽,
59', Ferri D. ↓, Nicco G. ↑,
59', Barlocco L. ↓, Piran L. ↑,
59', Rocco D. ↓, Curatolo D. ↑,
66', Bianchi N. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Bortolussi M. ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, Varas K. ⚽,
76', Capelli A. ↓, Valente N. ↑,
76', Bortolussi M. ↓, Russini S. ↑,
78', Mehic A. ↓, Palazzi A. ↑,
79', Mallamo A. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Citterio G. ⚽,
90+1', Varas K. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 3.
Recent matches Padova is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Pro Patria has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Padova is certain favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Padova won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:5 (average 1.9:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).
Italy
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Fortin M. (G) 
Kirwan N. 
Varas K. 
Bashi E. 
Mehic A. 
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