Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Carlo Speroni (Busto Arsizio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Pro Patria		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.3	4.15	1.41
	8.43	4.05	1.43
	8.1	4.44	1.35
	7.5	3.7	1.4
	7.85	3.92	1.39
	8.5	4.25	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.95 ↓ (8.04)	4.09 ↑ (3.98)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
11.6%

Draw
22.5%

Vicenza Virtus
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

23%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

22.6%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Pro Patria - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pro Patria will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Vicenza will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pro Patria (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 20. Mora C. 26. Masi A. 33. Pogliano C. 39. Motolese M. 25. Ferri D. 5. Di Munno A. 17. Tunjov G. 70. Desogus J. 10. Mastroianni F. 11. Renelus B.	16. Gagno R. (G) 33. Vescovi M. 23. Benassai F. 5. Cappelletti D. 19. Tribuzzi A. 29. Zonta L. 4. Carraro M. 26. Pellizzari G. 32. Costa F. 11. Stuckler D. 10. Capello A.
Substitutes
13. Aliata T. 14. Citterio G. 93. Dimarco C. 23. Frosali J. 56. Ganz S. 27. Giudici L. 7. Orfei A. 6. Sassaro A. 8. Schiavone A. 40. Schiro T. 19. Travaglini C. 9. Udoh K. 22. Zamarian M. (G)	24. Alessio F. 22. Bianchi G. (G) 28. Caferri L. 8. Cavion M. 13. Golin M. 12. Massolo S. (G) 9. Morra C. 77. Rada A. 7. Rauti N. 30. Rensi A. 44. Talarico R. 99. Vitale M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Stuckler D. ⚽,
27', Masi A. 🟨,
29', 0 - 2, Cappelletti D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 3, Capello A. ⚽,
59', Stuckler D. ↓, Rauti N. ↑,
60', Capello A. ↓, Morra C. ↑,
60', Ferri D. ↓, Frosali J. ↑,
60', Mora C. ↓, Sassaro A. ↑,
62', 0 - 4, Morra C. ⚽,
65', Carraro M. ↓, Alessio F. ↑,
66', Costa F. ↓, Talarico R. ↑,
68', Frosali J. 🟨,
71', Zonta L. ↓, Rada A. ↑,
75', Tunjov G. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
75', Desogus J. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
82', Motolese M. ↓, Dimarco C. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 0.

Pro Patria has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vicenza Virtus is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pro Patria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vicenza Virtus is the clear favorite.

We predict that Vicenza Virtus will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
25.01.26	Novara - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Pro Patria - Giana Erminio	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Pro Patria - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Pro Vercelli - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Pro Patria - Renate	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
26.01.26	Vicenza Virtus - Cittadella	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Vicenza Virtus - Ospitaletto	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Lumezzane - Vicenza Virtus	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.25	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Patria	3:0
19.01.25	Pro Patria - Vicenza Virtus	0:3
15.09.24	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Patria	2:0
16.03.24	Pro Patria - Vicenza Virtus	0:1
11.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Patria	3:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Pro Patria	3:2 ET
Italian Serie C Group A
05.02.23	Pro Patria - Vicenza Virtus	2:0

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