Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 22

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Pro Sesto		Mantova

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.53
	6	3.75	1.55	Watch
	6.61	3.59	1.56
	6	3.5	1.53
	6.41	3.48	1.53
	6	3.55	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↑ (5)	3.56 ↑ (3.3)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Sesto
15%

Draw
25.7%

Mantova
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

27.3%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

26.5%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Pro Sesto - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: Mantova will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Frate F. (G) 5. Marianucci L. 65. Giorgeschi S. 23. Mapelli F. 30. Toninelli D. 98. Bruschi N. 4. Gattoni T. 21. Bussaglia A. 3. Maurizii E. 32. Sereni M. 11. Kristoffersen . J.	1. Festa M. (G) 4. Celesia C. 16. Cavalli T. 13. Brignani F. 17. Radaelli N. 8. Burrai S. 28. Muroni M. 21. Trimboli S. 7. Mensah D. 14. Galuppini F. 11. Fiori A.
Substitutes
22. Botti F. (G) 17. D'Alessio L. 80. Florio M. 12. Formosa S. (G) 93. Guerrisi A. 28. Marchisano M. 33. Poggesi A. 29. Toci E.	24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 19. Bombagi F. 30. Bragantini D. 9. Debenedetti A. 20. Fedel G. 90. Giacomelli S. 27. Maggioni T. 45. Monachello G. 22. Napoli A. (G) 23. Panizzi E. 5. Redolfi A. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 1.

Pro Sesto is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mantova is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mantova is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Sesto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
13.01.24	Fiorenzuola - Pro Sesto	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Pro Sesto - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
23.12.23	Pro Patria - Pro Sesto	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Pro Sesto - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
08.12.23	Lumezzane - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTLL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
14.01.24	Mantova - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1 ✺
08.01.24	Padova - Mantova	0:5 ✺
22.12.23	Legnago Salus - Mantova	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Mantova - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
08.12.23	Vicenza Virtus - Mantova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.09.23	Mantova - Pro Sesto	2:0
01.02.23	Pro Sesto - Mantova	1:0
02.10.22	Mantova - Pro Sesto	0:0
20.03.22	Pro Sesto - Mantova	1:2
13.11.21	Mantova - Pro Sesto	1:0
Italian Serie D - Play Offs
19.05.19	Mantova - Pro Sesto	1:2
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.03.19	Mantova - Pro Sesto	2:1

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