Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 24

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Lumezzane		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.95	3.8
	1.95	3.1	4
	1.98	2.91	3.85
	1.93	3.11	4.42
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.88	2.96	4.42
	1.95	3.05	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.66)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)	4.06 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
47.4%

Draw
30.1%

Alessandria
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

27.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

26.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lumezzane's form might have worsened.

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lumezzane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lumezzane - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filigheddu S. (G) 7. Moscati M. 6. Pogliano C. 3. Pisano E. 33. Righetti S. 8. Cali M. 4. Taugourdeau A. 17. Ilari C. 10. Malotti M. 11. Capelli A. 32. Iori M.	1. Farroni A. (G) 6. Soler I. 8. Rota A. 5. Cusumano F. 23. Ciancio S. 28. Foresta G. 4. Nichetti M. 24. Mastalli A. 3. Rossi E. 29. Lauzkemis 31. Busatto T.
Substitutes
14. Basso Ricci A. 34. Cannavo K. 2. Deratti J. 9. Gerbi E. 12. Greco E. (G) 19. Parodi G. 18. Pesce S. 23. Poledri M. 22. Rizzo M. (G) 27. Scremin G. 38. Tortelli K.	32. Fiumano F. 7. Gazoul M. 17. Gega E. 26. Mame Ass N. 79. Mangni D. 21. Nunzella L. 16. Parrinello T. 14. Pellitteri A. 99. Samele L. 66. Sepe A. 9. Siafa O. 33. Spurio A. (G)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Lumezzane is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alessandria has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Lumezzane is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lumezzane won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lumezzane won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
27.01.24	Fiorenzuola - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Lumezzane - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Pergolettese - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
08.01.24	Lumezzane - Pro Vercelli	0:3 ✺
23.12.23	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWWLW
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
27.01.24	Alessandria - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Padova - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Alessandria - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Novara - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
22.12.23	Vicenza Virtus - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
24.09.23	Alessandria - Lumezzane	0:3
07.02.16	Alessandria - Lumezzane	1:1
27.09.15	Lumezzane - Alessandria	2:0
14.02.15	Alessandria - Lumezzane	3:1
27.09.14	Lumezzane - Alessandria	1:1

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