Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 26

Date: 13 February 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Alessandria		Mantova

	1	X	2
	6.75	3.6	1.46
	7.5	3.75	1.47	Watch
	6.8	3.7	1.43
	7.96	3.99	1.45
	8.5	3.8	1.36
	7.9	3.84	1.41
	7.6	3.85	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.57 ↓ (8.65)	3.79 ↓ (3.91)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
12%

Draw
24.1%

Mantova
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

23.5%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.3%

22.9%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alessandria - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: Mantova will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farroni A. (G) 32. Fiumano F. 17. Gega E. 23. Ciancio S. 3. Rossi E. 4. Nichetti M. 6. Soler I. 8. Parrinello T. 66. Sepe A. 9. Siafa O. 99. Samele L.	1. Festa M. (G) 27. Maggioni T. 13. Brignani F. 5. Redolfi A. 4. Celesia C. 28. Muroni M. 6. Bani C. 14. Galuppini F. 19. Bombagi F. 10. Wieser D. 45. Monachello G.
Substitutes
22. Barmaz Y. (G) 31. Busatto T. 5. Cusumano F. 20. Femia N. 7. Gazoul M. 29. Laukzemis K. 26. Mame Ass N. 79. Mangni D. 18. Pellegrini L. 14. Pellitteri A. 33. Spurio A. (G)	24. Argint G. 30. Bragantini D. 8. Burrai S. 9. Debenedetti A. 87. De Maio S. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 90. Giacomelli S. 7. Mensah D. 22. Napoli A. (G) 23. Panizzi E. 17. Radaelli N. 12. Sonzogni L. (G)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 2.

Alessandria has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mantova is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mantova is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
04.02.24	Lumezzane - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Alessandria - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Padova - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Alessandria - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Novara - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
09.02.24	Mantova - Triestina	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	AlbinoLeffe - Mantova	2:1 ✺
26.01.24	Mantova - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Pro Sesto - Mantova	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Mantova - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.10.23	Mantova - Alessandria	2:0
16.04.16	Alessandria - Mantova	0:0
07.12.15	Mantova - Alessandria	0:4
11.01.15	Mantova - Alessandria	2:0
30.08.14	Alessandria - Mantova	1:0
Italian Lega Pro C2/A
28.03.14	Alessandria - Mantova	2:1
24.11.13	Mantova - Alessandria	2:0

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