Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 23

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pro Sesto		Pro Vercelli

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.3
	3.1	3	2.35	Watch
	2.92	2.94	2.34
	3.36	2.8	2.32
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.19	2.95	2.26
	3.1	2.9	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.6)	2.91 ↑ (2.8)	2.3 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Sesto
29.4%

Draw
31.2%

Pro Vercelli
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

32.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

31%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Sesto's form might have worsened.

Pro Vercelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pro Vercelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Sesto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pro Vercelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Pro Sesto - Pro Vercelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pro Sesto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Pro Vercelli will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Frate F. (G) 30. Toninelli D. 5. Marianucci L. 50. Iotti L. 6. Poggesi A. 21. Bussaglia A. 8. Santarpia P. 4. Gattoni T. (C) 3. Maurizii E. 98. Bruschi N. 32. Sereni M.	22. Sassi J. (G) 31. Frey D. 33. Citi A. 6. Camigliano A. 74. Sarzi D. 16. Haoudi H. 14. Santoro S. 8. Iotti I. 77. Pannitteri O. 7. Mustacchio M. (C) 27. Maggio M.
Substitutes
9. Basili D. 22. Botti F. (G) 17. D'Alessio L. 26. Ferro L. 80. Florio M. 12. Formosa S. (G) 65. Giorgeschi S. 11. Kristoffersen . J. 23. Mapelli F. 29. Toci E.	5. Carosso A. 23. Casazza G. 17. Contaldo F. 30. Forte M. 1. Mastrantonio D. (G) 9. Nepi A. 32. Parodi G. 70. Pesce A. 93. Petrella M. 21. Rutigliano C. 44. Vaccarezza N. (G)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Pro Vercelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pro Vercelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Sesto won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
21.01.24	Pro Sesto - Mantova	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Fiorenzuola - Pro Sesto	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Pro Sesto - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
23.12.23	Pro Patria - Pro Sesto	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Pro Sesto - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLTL
- Pro Vercelli
Italian Serie C Group A
20.01.24	Pro Vercelli - Triestina	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Pro Vercelli - Renate	0:1 ✺
08.01.24	Lumezzane - Pro Vercelli	0:3 ✺
22.12.23	Pro Vercelli - Virtus Verona	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Vercelli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.23	Pro Vercelli - Pro Sesto	0:0
26.02.23	Pro Sesto - Pro Vercelli	2:2
23.10.22	Pro Vercelli - Pro Sesto	1:2
01.02.22	Pro Vercelli - Pro Sesto	0:0
04.09.21	Pro Sesto - Pro Vercelli	1:2
17.03.21	Pro Sesto - Pro Vercelli	0:0
22.11.20	Pro Vercelli - Pro Sesto	0:2

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