Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	SantAngelo		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	5.3	3.5	1.58
	5.61	3.69	1.55	Watch
	5.39	3.54	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.43 ↑ (5.35)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SantAngelo
16.7%

Draw
25.4%

Pistoiese
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

25.3%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

24.1%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SantAngelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Pistoiese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SantAngelo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

SantAngelo - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+15', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, SantAngelo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pistoiese is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Pistoiese is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, SantAngelo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, SantAngelo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pistoiese	6	6	0	0	17:1	16	18
9	Sant'Angelo	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACD SantAngelo
Italian Serie D - Group D
22.03.26	Pro Palazzolo - SantAngelo	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	SantAngelo - Imolese	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Sangiuliano City Nova - SantAngelo	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	SantAngelo - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Rovato Vertovese - SantAngelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLL
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
25.03.26	Lentigione - Pistoiese	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Pistoiese - Trevigliese	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.03.26	Ancona - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
28.02.26	Pistoiese - Progresso	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Correggese - Pistoiese	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
16.11.25	Pistoiese - SantAngelo	4:1
10.12.23	Pistoiese - SantAngelo	1:1
25.01.23	Pistoiese - SantAngelo	2:2
21.09.22	SantAngelo - Pistoiese	0:1

SantAngelo - Pistoiese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide