The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pro Sesto 44.9%
Draw 29.7%
Pro Patria 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
27.4%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
26.8%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Sesto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Sesto's performance.
Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pro Patria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Sesto that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Patria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Pro Sesto - Pro Patria Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Pro Sesto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Bagheria F. (G) 65. Giorgeschi S. 5. Marianucci L. 30. Toninelli D. 77. Fornito G. 7. Sala A. 16. Poli A. 20. Barranca F. 6. Poggesi A. 29. Toci E. 80. Florio M.
1. Rovida W. (G) 4. Saporetti L. 5. Bashi E. 6. Moretti A. 14. Bertoni L. 25. Ferri D. 17. Citterio G. 27. Renault C. 20. Renault G. 30. Castelli D. 69. Curatolo D.
Substitutes
10. Bahlouli M. 9. Basili D. 38. Boscolo R. 98. Bruschi N. 21. Bussaglia A. 19. Caverzasi D. 17. D'Alessio L. 12. Formosa S. (G) 50. Iotti L. 11. Kristoffersen . J. 23. Mapelli F. 3. Maurizii E. 18. Palazzi A. 92. Saccone M. (G) 32. Sereni M.
22. Bongini L. (G) 33. Ferrario L. 16. Fietta G. 23. Ghioldi F. 31. Mallamo A. 12. Mangano G. (G) 8. Marano F. 21. Minelli A. 3. Ndrecka A. 10. Nicco G. 9. Parker S. 28. Somma M. 7. Stanzani L. 2. Vaghi S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Florio M. 🟨,
55', Ferri D. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Fornito G. ⚽,
60', Florio M. ↓, Kristoffersen . J. ↑,
60', Poggesi A. ↓, Maurizii E. ↑,
66', Curatolo D. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
66', Citterio G. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
72', Poli A. ↓, Bussaglia A. ↑,
79', Renault G. ↓, Nicco G. ↑,
79', Bertoni L. ↓, Ghioldi F. ↑,
80', Fornito G. 🟨,
83', Fornito G. ↓, Caverzasi D. ↑,
83', Toci E. ↓, Mapelli F. ↑,
85', Kristoffersen . J. 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 12).
Pro Sesto is Serie C ~ Group A
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 3.
Recent matches Pro Sesto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pro Patria is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pro Sesto will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Pro Sesto won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.