Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 33

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	AlbinoLeffe		Pro Sesto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	2.2	2.95	3.5	Watch
	2.21	2.91	3.72
	2.21	2.91	3.72
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.13	2.9	3.55
	2.18	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.04)	2.9 ↓ (3.01)	3.53 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AlbinoLeffe
42.4%

Draw
31.6%

Pro Sesto
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

30%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Pro Sesto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

AlbinoLeffe - Pro Sesto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Marietta C. (G) 33. Borghini D. 13. Milesi L. 30. Baroni R. 16. Gusu M. 6. Doumbia I. 95. Agostinelli M. 3. Zanini M. 10. Piccoli M. 11. Zoma M. A. 60. Arrighini A.	1. Del Frate F. (G) 23. Mapelli F. 30. Toninelli D. 65. Giorgeschi S. 6. Poggesi A. 16. Poli A. 4. Gattoni T. 10. Bahlouli M. 3. Maurizii E. 32. Sereni M. 29. Toci E.
Substitutes
42. Allieri A. 19. Angeloni M. 8. Brentan M. 44. Gatti R. 4. Giorno F. 5. Marchetti S. 72. Moleri L. (G) 27. Munari D. 20. Muzio C. 1. Pratelli L. (G) 23. Saltarelli M.	9. Basili D. 98. Bruschi N. 21. Bussaglia A. 19. Caverzasi D. 17. D'Alessio L. 80. Florio M. 12. Formosa S. (G) 77. Fornito G. 50. Iotti L. 11. Kristoffersen . J. 18. Palazzi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Borghini D. ⚽,
7', Toninelli D. 🟨,
21', Mapelli F. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Toci E. ⚽,
45+1', Agostinelli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Agostinelli M. ↓, Giorno F. ↑,
46', Zanini M. ↓, Munari D. ↑,
52', Poli A. ↓, Palazzi A. ↑,
63', Milesi L. ↓, Marchetti S. ↑,
65', Sereni M. ↓, Fornito G. ↑,
65', Bahlouli M. ↓, Florio M. ↑,
74', Arrighini A. ↓, Muzio C. ↑,
77', Mapelli F. ↓, Kristoffersen . J. ↑,
77', Gattoni T. ↓, Bussaglia A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches AlbinoLeffe won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pro Sesto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

AlbinoLeffe will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches AlbinoLeffe won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams AlbinoLeffe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
15.03.24	Padova - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	0:0 ✺
05.03.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
01.03.24	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Alessandria - AlbinoLeffe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTTTW
- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
17.03.24	Pro Sesto - Triestina	0:1 ✺
11.03.24	Renate - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
05.03.24	Pro Sesto - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
01.03.24	Virtus Verona - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Pro Sesto - Trento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
18.11.23	Pro Sesto - AlbinoLeffe	2:0
Club Friendly
30.07.23	Pro Sesto - AlbinoLeffe	0:3
Italian Serie C Group A
08.01.23	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Sesto	3:1
10.09.22	Pro Sesto - AlbinoLeffe	2:2
26.03.22	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Sesto	1:1
21.11.21	Pro Sesto - AlbinoLeffe	0:0
03.02.21	Pro Sesto - AlbinoLeffe	2:2

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