Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 14

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio comunale (Caravaggio)


	Atalanta U23		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.78	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.77	3.37	4.58
	1.84	3.41	4.38	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.5
	1.7	3.45	4.53
	1.78	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	4.38 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
52.3%

Draw
26.7%

Pro Patria
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

26.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Atalanta U23 - Pro Patria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bertini T. (G) 13. Comi P. 37. Navarro A. 3. Del Lungo T. 66. Bergonzi F. 10. Panada S. 8. Gyabuaa M. 25. Scheffer M. 34. Artesani N. 11. Vavassori D. 26. Alessio F.	1. Rovida W. (G) 5. Bashi E. 13. Alcibiade R. 33. Sassaro A. 28. Somma M. 25. Ferri D. 10. Nicco G. 75. Mallamo A. 18. Piran L. 29. Toci E. 11. Pitou J.
Substitutes
16. Armstrong D. 41. Bilac M. 29. Camara H. 21. Manzoni A. 14. Mencaraglia F. 7. Muhameti E. 1. Pardel P. (G) 20. Renault G. 39. Sodero A. 35. Torriani A. (G)	9. Beretta G. 27. Cavalli T. 7. Curatolo D. 21. Ferrario L. 6. Mehic A. 24. Miculi M. 8. Palazzi A. 12. Pratelli L. (G) 4. Reggiori P. 31. Terrani G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Toci E. 🟨,
39', Comi P. ↓, Manzoni A. ↑,
40', 0 - 1, Nicco G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Mallamo A. 🟨,
63', Mallamo A. ↓, Mehic A. ↑,
63', Artesani N. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
64', 🟨,
70', Toci E. ↓, Beretta G. ↑,
71', Pitou J. ↓, Curatolo D. ↑,
71', Navarro A. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Alessio F. ⚽,
83', Alessio F. ↓, Muhameti E. ↑,
83', Scheffer M. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Panada S. (Pen),
90+3', Nicco G. ↓, Palazzi A. ↑,
90+3', Somma M. ↓, Terrani G. ↑,
90+4', Terrani G. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Pro Patria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atalanta U23 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atalanta U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
03.11.24	FeralpiSalò - Atalanta U23	3:1 ✺
29.10.24	Atalanta U23 - Pro Vercelli	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Vicenza Virtus - Atalanta U23	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Atalanta U23 - Renate	4:0 ✺
12.10.24	AlbinoLeffe - Atalanta U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWT
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
03.11.24	Pro Patria - Triestina	0:0 ✺
29.10.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
25.10.24	Pro Patria - Trento	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Pro Patria	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Pro Patria - Lecco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
07.04.24	Atalanta U23 - Pro Patria	4:1
02.12.23	Pro Patria - Atalanta U23	1:0

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