Match Info

Date: 16 December 2020, Wednesday


	Pro Vercelli		Livorno

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.75
	1.7	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.75	2.88	4.9
	1.69	3.05	5
	1.7	3.39	5.79
	1.75	3.25	5
	1.71	3.5	4.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.81)	3.25 ↓ (3.27)	4.99 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Vercelli
53.5%

Draw
28.1%

Livorno
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.6%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

21.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Vercelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Vercelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	11.5%	0%

Pro Vercelli - Livorno Predictions

Users Predictions: Pro Vercelli will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 14).

Recent matches Pro Vercelli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Livorno is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Livorno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pro Vercelli is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pro Vercelli won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Vercelli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Vercelli
Italian Serie C Group A
12.12.20	Pro Vercelli - AlbinoLeffe	2:2 ✺
29.11.20	Alessandria - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
25.11.20	Pergolettese - Pro Vercelli	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Pro Vercelli - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
18.11.20	Pro Vercelli - Giana Erminio	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWLW
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
13.12.20	Pistoiese - Livorno	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Livorno - Pontedera	0:0 ✺
21.11.20	Grosseto - Livorno	1:0 ✺
14.11.20	Livorno - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
11.11.20	Livorno - Giana Erminio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.03.16	Livorno - Pro Vercelli	0:1
07.11.15	Pro Vercelli - Livorno	1:0
11.04.15	Pro Vercelli - Livorno	3:3
16.11.14	Livorno - Pro Vercelli	3:1
Club Friendly
07.08.14	Pro Vercelli - Livorno	0:2
Italian Serie B
02.02.13	Livorno - Pro Vercelli	2:0
09.09.12	Pro Vercelli - Livorno	1:2

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