Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	Livorno		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.75	2.6	2.75	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.6
	2.65	2.7	2.7
	2.65	2.76	2.73
	2.55	3.1	2.75
	2.77	2.78	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.58)	2.84 ↓ (3.02)	2.73 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
34.7%

Draw
32%

Carrarese
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

21.4%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Livorno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrarese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Livorno - Carrarese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Livorno is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Carrarese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carrarese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Livorno won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Livorno won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
11.11.20	Livorno - Giana Erminio	3:0 ✺
08.11.20	Alessandria - Livorno	3:2 ✺
04.11.20	Livorno - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Livorno - Pergolettese	3:2 ✺
25.10.20	Renate - Livorno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLTWW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
11.11.20	Carrarese - Renate	0:2 ✺
07.11.20	Grosseto - Carrarese	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Carrarese - Alessandria	0:2 ✺
25.10.20	Novara - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Carrarese - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.04.18	Livorno - Carrarese	1:1
10.12.17	Carrarese - Livorno	2:3
22.01.17	Carrarese - Livorno	0:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.16	Livorno - Carrarese	0:1 penalties
Italian Serie C Group A
11.09.16	Livorno - Carrarese	1:0
Club Friendly
29.08.15	Carrarese - Livorno	2:2

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