Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday


	Livorno		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.6
	1.87	3.25	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.25	3.65
	2.03	2.85	3.65
	2.03	3.05	3.89
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	1.98	3.28	3.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	3.7 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
46.3%

Draw
29.1%

Giana Erminio
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Livorno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Livorno - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Livorno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Livorno will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Livorno won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Livorno won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
08.11.20	Alessandria - Livorno	3:2 ✺
04.11.20	Livorno - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Livorno - Pergolettese	3:2 ✺
25.10.20	Renate - Livorno	0:2 ✺
21.10.20	Livorno - Novara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWWL
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
25.10.20	Giana Erminio - Como	2:1 ✺
21.10.20	Pro Sesto - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Giana Erminio - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
12.10.20	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
07.10.20	Novara - Giana Erminio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
10.03.18	Giana Erminio - Livorno	0:2
22.10.17	Livorno - Giana Erminio	2:1
19.02.17	Livorno - Giana Erminio	0:1
02.10.16	Giana Erminio - Livorno	2:2

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